Austrian elections are key to EU future; FPÖ likely wins, but a coalition government is expected.
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Upcoming parliamentary elections in Austria this Sunday are crucial for Vienna’s stance on the future of the EU, which is becoming a new source of uncertainty in Europe. Bulgaria and Romania are closely monitoring the vote because Austria is currently the only country with reservations about the full membership of both Balkan countries in Schengen. The future Austrian government could lead to changes regarding relations with Russia, support for Ukraine, migration, and other issues. Polls suggest the far-right, pro-Russian Freedom Party (FPÖ) led by Herbert Kickl might win, but it is unlikely to form a government alone, meaning Austria will likely be governed by a coalition. The key issue in forming this coalition is whether or not the FPÖ participates; most likely, an alliance between Chancellor Karl Nehammer’s Austrian People’s Party (ÖVP) and the Social Democratic Party of Austria (SPÖ) will occur, with the Greens and NEOS potentially joining the government if necessary. A second coalition scenario exists but is less probable.
