Petr Jedlička: The European elections from a European perspective: three key takeaways

Wednesday, Jun 12, 2024

European Parliament elections show right-wing gains, increased fragmentation, and EPP’s growing responsibility.

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[This is an automatically generated summary, for reference only]

The European Parliament elections, which elect 720 members with a five-year term, have sparked debate across various countries, notably in France and Czechia. From an overarching European perspective, three key takeaways emerge: first, despite the right-wing gaining ground overall, there are no immediately revolutionary changes; while shifts among liberals, greens, and nationalists are undeniable, many perceived European trends are actually national ones driven by specific country dynamics like those in France and Germany. Second, the election results indicate increased fragmentation within the Parliament across its seven main groups due to disagreements on issues such as the Green Deal, migration, sovereignty, and Russia, leading to a greater reliance on behind-the-scenes negotiators. Third, the European People’s Party (EPP) is expected to take on an increased role and responsibility, with Ursula von der Leyen aiming to form a “coalition against extremism” using seats from EPP, S&D, and Liberals. While the Parliament can still function without far-right parties, the influence of these groups is growing. In Brussels, there are two main views: one suggesting the election results will maintain the current model dominated by EPP-S&D-Renew, and another warning that the rise of the far right threatens Europe’s relevance globally due to factors like the war in Ukraine and rising nationalism.


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