Petr Jedlička: Ukraine, a thousand days after the invasion: The future will be determined by the answers to three key questions

Thursday, Nov 21, 2024

US support for Ukraine strains resources, while Russia advances despite Western aid; Trump’s future role is uncertain.

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[This is an automatically generated summary, for reference only]

Proponents of Trump’s stance argue that US support for Ukraine strengthens ties between China, Russia, North Korea, and Iran while depleting resources needed elsewhere, particularly in Asian seas. The pro-Trump faction blocked half a year of aid to Ukraine in Congress until deliveries were linked to further support for Israel. An AP correspondent in Kyiv noted that despite Ukrainian resistance slowing or stopping Russian advances with Western aid, the future remains bleak after one thousand days of full-scale invasion, as last year’s offensive only liberated a few villages and this year’s surprise counteroffensive did not yield significant gains. Russia has shifted to wartime production, spending six percent of its GDP on military buildup, and has deployed at least ten thousand North Korean soldiers while capturing more Ukrainian territory near Vuhledar and Avdiivka. Overall, less than one percent of Ukraine’s area was captured in the last year, yet Russian forces are accelerating their advance, having taken a thousand square kilometers out of 2400 occupied square kilometers in September and October alone. Debates among Ukrainian allies concern whether Kyiv should target areas within Russia with Atacms or if providing anti-personnel mines is justifiable, while Russia continues to terrorize Ukrainian cities with missile strikes. A significant shift is anticipated soon, contingent upon answers regarding Donald Trump’s diplomatic actions concerning Russia and Ukraine, the future stance of Putin’s regime, and the reactions of Ukrainians and EU states. Regarding Trump’s plans, he has repeatedly discussed changing his approach to the war during elections, though his statements have been contradictory and sometimes lack seriousness, such as promising to end the war in twenty-four hours, leaving his potential new American approach highly uncertain.


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