The "flag effect": Iranian dissidents prioritize security, except for monarchists

Friday, Jun 20, 2025

Iranian public shows deep ambivalence amid conflict; fears division and destruction despite anti-regime sentiment.

πŸ”— Read the article on elconfidencial.com


[This is an automatically generated summary, for reference only]

Iranian society is deeply divided following Israel’s massive attacks on Iran starting June 13th. While some Iranians express joy over the death of regime leaders due to oppression, others mourn innocent civilian deaths amidst the chaos. Many feel a strong ambivalence; while many oppose the current government, they do not support invasion or bombardment. Experts note a “rally ‘round the flag’ effect,” where nationalistic sentiment strengthens during crises, causing some Iranians to rally behind the state despite their usual opposition. Refugees and activists express fear for family safety and uncertainty about the future. Some advocate for change, with figures like Reza Pahlavi proposing a transition, though critics doubt his ability to unite dissent or believe external powers are acting solely in Iran’s best interest. Overall, there is widespread concern that regardless of the outcome, the Iranian people will not return to their previous state, and the worst-case scenario involves a destroyed country under the same regime.


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