Presidential race tightens; Trzaskowski’s lead shrinks amid polling shifts and political maneuvering.
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The leading candidate for the Polish presidential election, RafaÅ‚ Trzaskowski, has seen his advantage decrease over the past month, reflecting increased voter polarization, according to data from Gazeta Wyborcza and TVP Info. A new Ipsos poll shows a reduced lead for Trzaskowski (28%) over conservative rival Karol Nawrocki (24%), with both candidates’ support figures being slightly lower than a month prior. Trzaskowski’s support dipped after mediocre performances in April debates, while Nawrocki gained two percentage points despite facing allegations regarding the purchase of an apartment from a vulnerable pensioner. SÅ‚awomir Mentzen, the far-right candidate, continues to decline in support. Other polls also indicate a narrowing gap between the frontrunners. A key factor for the second round is whether voters supporting third-place candidate Mentzen will shift their votes; however, analysis suggests that PiS and ConfederaÈ›ia voters are closely aligned, making Nawrocki’s apartment issue unlikely to divide his base. The conservative strategy involves emphasizing Poland sending troops to Ukraine, despite official denials, and recent meetings by Nawrocki with leaders of far-right parties.
