Within the European Union, support for Donald Trump is strongest in Hungary, but the Czech Republic is not far behind

Tuesday, Nov 5, 2024

Denik Referendum

EU citizens would likely vote for Trump in four countries; Harris wins elsewhere, showing varied support across Europe.

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[This is an automatically generated summary, for reference only]

If EU citizens voted in this year’s US elections, Donald Trump would win in four countries: Slovenia, Slovakia, Bulgaria, and most significantly in Hungary with 62 percent. Kamala Harris would win in the remaining twenty member states. A comparative analysis by Europe Elect based on October data shows Harris has over 90 percent support in Scandinavian countries, and 70 to 80 percent in Poland, the Baltics, and Italy. The Czech Republic closes the pro-Harris bloc with 54 percent, while 48 percent of people in Slovakia would vote for the Democratic nominee. Despite excluding three less engaged EU states—Malta, Cyprus, and Portugal—the data reflects a clear trend, which is generally supported by recent YouGov surveys in Western Europe including undecided adults. While many even supporters of the far-right view Harris as a better president, European politicians largely maintain diplomatic distance from US elections. The Spanish socialist government under Pedro Sánchez shows the clearest anti-Trump stance, while Viktor Orbán’s government in Hungary is openly pro-Trump. In the Czech Republic, recent polls show mixed views; some support for Trump was found among ANO and SPD representatives, but no major governing party strongly supported Harris. A STEM/MARK survey indicated that surprisingly, 50 percent of KSÄŒM voters “definitely” support Trump, while Harris has expected high support from Pirate and TOP 09 voters.

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